Trading Insights 07/07/25

Chart of the Day 📈 7/7/25: Will Trump Threat Break the BRICS?

Mike Larson | Editor-in-Chief

President Trump is coming for the “BRICS.” Or more accurately, countries that align with the policies of the BRICS nations.

The acronym stands for Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa. Representatives for those countries – and other Middle East and emerging market nations like Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and Indonesia – are currently meeting in Brazil. They slammed Trump’s policies and warned against “unjustified unilateral protectionist measures.” Trump then responded by saying he’d slap an additional 10% tariff on nations that ally with the BRICs.

So far this year, though, investors have profited handsomely from targeting BRICS markets. Just look at the MoneyShow Chart of the Day. It shows the year-to-date performance of the iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI), iShares MSCI Brazil ETF (EWZ), iShares MSCI South Africa ETF (EZA), and iShares MSCI India ETF (INDA), as well as the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY). As a reminder, trading in US-listed, Russia-focused ETFs was halted due to sanctions tied to the Ukraine war.

EWZ, INDA, FXI, EZA, SPY (YTD % Change)

You can see that even the worst-performing ETF – INDA – is up 5.9% YTD, almost even with the SPY. Meanwhile, FXI is up more than 19% while EWZ and EZA are both up more than 30%. Funds that track foreign markets are benefitting from a falling US dollar, expectations for stronger growth overseas, and relatively strong commodities markets.

Only time will tell if Trump’s latest threat will break the BRICS markets. But so far in 2025, they’ve given investors a solid portfolio foundation.

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The first half of 2025 was a wild ride for investors. After a sharp market drop triggered by tariffs and global turmoil, the S&P 500 roared back with a record-setting 24% rally in just 90 days — adding over $10 trillion in value. But while stocks soared, the US dollar suffered its worst start since 1973, and hard assets like gold and Bitcoin took off.

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