Trading Insights 05/07/25

Mike Larson | Editor-in-Chief

The dollar is getting dumped. In Europe. In Asia. In emerging and developed markets around the world.

Meanwhile, the hunt for alternatives is heating up. So…should you jump on the trend?

Let’s start with the MoneyShow Chart of the Day – a year-to-date chart showing the SPDR Gold Shares (GLD), the Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund (UUP), and the iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT). Also shown: ETFs that track the Japanese yen, the Australian dollar, and the performance of a basket of emerging market currencies against the US dollar. They include the Mexican peso, South Korean won, and Turkish lira.

GLD, FXY, UUP, FXA, CEW, IBIT
(YTD % Change)

A couple of things stand out…

First, gold has been the ultimate ā€œdollar alternativeā€ – with gains of more than 29% in just over four months! I’ve been pounding the table on precious metals for a LONG time, and I hope you’re enjoying the move.

Second, Bitcoin initially sold off as a Nasdaq proxy / ā€œRisk Onā€ asset in March and April. But it’s showing signs of life again. If it can break that tech-stock tie, it could be the next big dollar alternative play.

Third, the UUP is down 7% already this year – a big move in the foreign exchange / currency ETF world. On the flip side, everything from the WisdomTree Emerging Market Currency Strategy Fund (CEW) to the Invesco CurrencyShares Japanese Yen Trust (FXY) is rising. That shows the breadth and depth of this dumping-dollar move.

In sum: Don’t be too quick to jump off these trends if you’re trading them. They look durable to me.

Who has ā€œcontrolā€ of the markets at any given time - the longs or the shorts? It’s a critical question for any trader…and Brian Shannon says Anchored VWAP can help you answer it. Check out what he had to say in this MoneyShow MoneyMasters Podcast segment!

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FEATURED PICKS FROM MONEYSHOW EXPERTS

  • Gold: Can the Precious Metal Make a New High Above $3,500?

    šŸ‘‰ļø TICKER: GLD

    After rallying sharply on Monday, gold got another shot in the arm during the first half of Tuesday’s session. As well as a weaker US dollar, a drop in equity prices also helped to boost the appeal of the safe-haven metal. The question now is, can it make a new all-time high above $3,500? Here’s my take, says Fawad Razaqzada, technical analyst at Trading Candles.

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